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VVX

V2XC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter revenue rose 17% year over year to $1.26 billion, adjusted diluted EPS rose 23% to $1.64, and V2X raised full-year guidance. Sustained conversion of its $12.7 billion backlog and lower leverage could support a re-rating [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Cash conversion may fall short of the company's approximately 2.0x year-end net-leverage expectation [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Momentum
58
Value
65
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $67.00 · Bull $84.00 · Bear $55.00Analysis 2026-10-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-02 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $88.91
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d +23.6
Value65 · Δ7d -1.2
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -10.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-02 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cash conversion may fall short of the company's approximately 2.0x year-end net-leverage expectation [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
  • • Failure to meet raised 2026 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, or adjusted EPS guidance could pressure the shares [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
  • • Quarterly book-to-bill of approximately 0.5x, execution risk in the raised outlook, and $876.1 million of net debt leave limited room for disappointment [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].

Catalyst clock

2026-11-02 · AMC

November 2 third-quarter results test raised guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
58
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+23.6
Δ21d
+18.6
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-1.5
Sentiment
41
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.6
Δ21d
-20.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 58.2 / Value 64.8 / Sentiment 40.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$84.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$67.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$2.42B
Beta
0.12
Shares Out
31.35M
P/E (TTM)
23.9
P/S (TTM)
0.42
P/FCF (TTM)
10.10
Rev YoY
+16.5%
EPS YoY
+15.4%
Gross Margin
+8.5%
Op Margin
+4.2%
Net Debt
$770.38M
Current Ratio
1.32
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data