B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$89.18
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VVX
V2XBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Strong Q2 growth, raised 2026 guidance, recent awards, and expected deleveraging support upside if backlog converts into revenue and margin expansion [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-11].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.0.
What can break
Backlog declined from the Q1 reported $13.8 billion to $12.7 billion in Q2; conversion and funded backlog remain key execution variables [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03] [#SEC-8K-2026-05-04].
Momentum
45
Value
65
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $74.10 · Bull $89.18 · Bear $70.34Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $88.80
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d -21.7
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +11.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Backlog declined from the Q1 reported $13.8 billion to $12.7 billion in Q2; conversion and funded backlog remain key execution variables [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03] [#SEC-8K-2026-05-04].
- • Deleveraging depends on cash generation; Q2 net cash from operating activities was $21.6 million and net leverage remained 2.4x [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
- • The sharp Q2 book-to-bill decline and lower reported backlog create a forward-visibility risk despite strong reported earnings.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-23
Backlog conversion and award mix
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
45
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-21.7
Δ21d
-29.4
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.0
Δ21d
+3.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 45.5 / Value 65.5 / Sentiment 71.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$74.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$70.34
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.59B
Beta
0.12
Shares Out
31.35M
P/E (TTM)
23.9
P/S (TTM)
0.42
P/FCF (TTM)
10.10
Rev YoY
+16.5%
EPS YoY
+15.4%
Gross Margin
+8.5%
Op Margin
+4.2%
Net Debt
$770.38M
Current Ratio
1.32
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data