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VSNT

Versant Media GroupA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Raised guidance, adjusted EBITDA growth despite lower revenue, improving advertising trends, platform growth and substantial free-cash-flow guidance support a rerating if digital initiatives offset linear-TV erosion. Continued repurchases add capital-allocation support.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Full Swing, direct-to-consumer launches and the expanded Fandango strategy introduce integration, investment and monetization risk.
Momentum
64
Value
72
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $42.00 · Bull $46.80 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-09-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $46.80
Why
Momentum64 · Δ7d -5.2
Value72 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +10.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Full Swing, direct-to-consumer launches and the expanded Fandango strategy introduce integration, investment and monetization risk.
  • • Higher sports-rights and programming costs may constrain second-half adjusted EBITDA growth. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-07]
  • • Q2 revenue declined 4%, linear distribution revenue reportedly fell 6%, and management cautioned that higher sports-rights and programming costs could prevent year-over-year EBITDA growth in the second half.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Additional accelerated share repurchase

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
64
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.2
Δ21d
+15.0
Value
72
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+11.1
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.3
Δ21d
+15.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 64.1 / Value 72.2 / Sentiment 76.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$46.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.44B
Beta
-
Shares Out
139.17M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
6.1
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
3.37
Rev YoY
-3.7%
EPS YoY
-28.5%
Gross Margin
+40.9%
Op Margin
+19.3%
Net Debt
-$106M
Current Ratio
2.38
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data