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VOD

Vodafone Group PublicD
Nasdaq / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull scenario rests on successful margin recovery, outperformance in enterprise/IoT revenue, and multiple expansion toward the analyst high; execution and positive guidance at FY2026 would validate this.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Dividend cut or capital-allocation disappointment
Momentum
72
Value
68
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $13.45 · Bull $20.14 · Bear $8.00Analysis 2026-02-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $16.32
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d +0.2
Value68 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d -2.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dividend cut or capital-allocation disappointment
  • • FX volatility across GBP/EUR/USD
  • • Bear scenario assumes continued ARPU pressure, adverse FX and regulatory outcomes, and limited free-cash-flow improvement, leaving multiples anchored near the analyst low.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-04

Post-earnings analyst revisions

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.1
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
35
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.9
Δ21d
-4.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 72.0 / Value 67.5 / Sentiment 34.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$20.14
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$13.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$37.45B
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
2.31B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-84.7
P/S (TTM)
0.69
P/FCF (TTM)
3.98
Rev YoY
+7.3%
EPS YoY
-13.9%
Gross Margin
+31.5%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
$42.5B
Current Ratio
1.07
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data