B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VNT
VontierANYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Vontier delivered a clean enough Q1, kept full-year EPS intact, showed strength in Environmental & Fueling Solutions, and may emerge as a simpler higher-quality industrial technology story if the Teletrac transaction closes on plan.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Mobility Technologies segment operating margin fell to 16.6% from 19.2% as higher R&D expense and unfavorable mix more than offset simplification benefits.
Momentum
74
Value
67
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $37.00 · Bear $26.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $40.00
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d +25.2
Value67 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -2.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Mobility Technologies segment operating margin fell to 16.6% from 19.2% as higher R&D expense and unfavorable mix more than offset simplification benefits.
- • Net leverage ended Q1 at 2.4x after refinancing activity, which is manageable but leaves less room for another execution miss if demand softens.
- • The bear case is that the print was only modestly positive: Mobility Technologies margin fell 260 bps, Repair Solutions stayed soft, Q2 core sales guidance is down about 1%, and the divestiture economics are not fully cash, limiting immediate rerating power.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · BMO
Teletrac Navman majority sale could simplify the portfolio and lift mix
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
74
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+25.2
Δ21d
+33.9
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.9
Δ21d
-16.1
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 73.8 / Value 67.2 / Sentiment 50.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.65B
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
135.2M
P/E (TTM)
14.0
P/S (TTM)
1.81
P/FCF (TTM)
13.82
Rev YoY
-2.2%
EPS YoY
-68.4%
Gross Margin
+45.0%
Op Margin
+19.2%
Net Debt
$1.64B
Current Ratio
1.25
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data