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VMI

Valmont IndustriesB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The EPS beat, higher 2026 adjusted EPS range, 23.0% North America Utility sales growth, and approximately 0.9x net leverage support a constructive operating case if capacity spending lifts throughput. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-20] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/102729/000110465926117126/vmi-ex99d1.htm
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
What can break
Agriculture's international volumes declined in the Middle East and Brazil; a broad demand recovery remains unproven. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-20]
Momentum
51
Value
58
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $455.00 · Bull $515.00 · Bear $370.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $610.75
Why
Momentum51 · Δ7d -26.8
Value58 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +0.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Agriculture's international volumes declined in the Middle East and Brazil; a broad demand recovery remains unproven. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-20]
  • • North America Telecommunications volumes fell significantly as carrier spending priorities shifted. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-20]
  • • Revenue missed the cited consensus estimate, full-year sales guidance was unchanged, Infrastructure margin narrowed, and international Agriculture and North America Telecommunications volumes weakened.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-20

Q3 earnings beat, raised EPS outlook, and negative share reaction

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
51
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-26.8
Δ21d
-17.7
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-10.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 50.8 / Value 58.0 / Sentiment 65.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$515.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$455.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$370.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$8.32B
Beta
1.22
Shares Out
19.14M
P/E (TTM)
36.0
P/S (TTM)
2.01
P/FCF (TTM)
23.04
Rev YoY
+6.5%
EPS YoY
-502.1%
Gross Margin
+30.3%
Op Margin
+13.8%
Net Debt
$760.35M
Current Ratio
2.35
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data