B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$123.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VLTO
VeraltoANYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print showed 4.2% core growth, 24.6% adjusted operating margin, $328 million of free cash flow, and raised full-year EPS and core-growth guidance. The reported Water Quality momentum and expected PQI acceleration support a constructive medium-term thesis.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.
What can break
A CEO open-market sale was reported, but insider activity is not evidence of operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-21]
Momentum
47
Value
50
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $111.56 · Bull $123.00 · Bear $84.00Analysis 2026-07-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $113.79
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d +6.6
Value50 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment82 · Δ7d +9.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A CEO open-market sale was reported, but insider activity is not evidence of operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-21]
- • Acquisition integration and disciplined capital allocation remain execution dependencies.
- • The guidance increase includes a $0.05-per-share IEEPA tariff-refund benefit, which may not recur.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-07
Post-earnings guidance digestion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
47
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.6
Δ21d
-13.6
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.3
Δ21d
+2.8
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 47.3 / Value 49.5 / Sentiment 82.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-31. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$111.56
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$84.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$23.59B
Beta
-
Shares Out
243.79M
P/E (TTM)
27.2
P/S (TTM)
4.52
P/FCF (TTM)
27.92
Rev YoY
+7.5%
EPS YoY
+10.4%
Gross Margin
+59.3%
Op Margin
+22.7%
Net Debt
$848M
Current Ratio
1.78
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data