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VIV

Telefonica BrasilA
NYSE / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
2Q26 revenue grew 7.6% year over year and EBITDA grew 10.9%, with a 41.8% margin. Sustained postpaid and fiber gains could support cash generation and distributions.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.
What can break
2Q26 postpaid ARPU increased only 0.8% year over year despite access growth. [#IR-2Q26-2026-07-27] Company earnings release
Momentum
72
Value
66
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.00 · Bull $14.50 · Bear $9.20Analysis 2026-10-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-29 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-29

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-29. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.42
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d +4.2
Value66 · Δ7d +2.3
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +10.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • 2Q26 postpaid ARPU increased only 0.8% year over year despite access growth. [#IR-2Q26-2026-07-27] Company earnings release
  • • ADR returns are exposed to Brazilian-real movements; the packet provides no currency sensitivity.
  • • The operating evidence is one quarter old.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-10

3Q26 results on November 10

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
+18.7
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.6
Δ21d
+5.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 71.5 / Value 66.0 / Sentiment 67.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$18.37B
Beta
0.58
Shares Out
1.6B
P/E (TTM)
17.7
P/S (TTM)
1.82
P/FCF (TTM)
13.62
Rev YoY
+20.7%
EPS YoY
+33.0%
Gross Margin
+40.8%
Op Margin
+15.7%
Net Debt
$2.39B
Current Ratio
0.95
As of 2026-10-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data