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VIRT

Virtu FinancialB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print confirmed strong revenue, trading-income, adjusted-NTI, and EBITDA growth, while the dividend supports total returns. The packet’s median analyst target of $66.86 implies roughly 13.6% upside from the $58.87 anchor price.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
No reliable consensus surprise, post-print analyst revision, or target-change data is available in the packet.
Momentum
84
Value
54
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $65.00 · Bull $72.00 · Bear $50.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $66.71
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d +1.5
Value54 · Δ7d -8.8
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +10.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • No reliable consensus surprise, post-print analyst revision, or target-change data is available in the packet.
  • • Peer comparability is limited because the available peer set mixes market makers with broader financial-services and execution businesses.
  • • Virtu remains exposed to trading conditions and earnings normalization, while the incremental term financing adds leverage sensitivity.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 2026 results confirmed strong operating momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
84
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
+29.3
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.8
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.3
Δ21d
-2.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 83.6 / Value 53.9 / Sentiment 63.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$65.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.23B
Beta
0.60
Shares Out
88.3M
P/E (TTM)
7.3
P/S (TTM)
1.48
P/FCF (TTM)
20.51
Rev YoY
+20.1%
EPS YoY
-0.9%
Gross Margin
+50.4%
Op Margin
+37.8%
Net Debt
$2.61B
Current Ratio
0.94
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data