B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$49.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VGNT
VersigentBNYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The best near-term bull read is that the first standalone quarter beat expectations, FY2026 guidance was reaffirmed, and capital return was formalized quickly after the spin. UBS raised its target to $49 from $43 and lifted EBITDA estimates, which supports a constructive revision path if execution stays clean.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 9.2% from 9.8%, with management citing commodity-cost and FX headwinds [#8-K-2026-05-05].
Momentum
65
Value
60
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $42.00 · Bull $49.00 · Bear $32.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $56.78
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d -5.0
Value60 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +9.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 9.2% from 9.8%, with management citing commodity-cost and FX headwinds [#8-K-2026-05-05].
- • Balance-sheet leverage increased after the spin; the 10-Q shows $2.074B of long-term debt and new senior notes/credit facilities, even though no revolver borrowings were outstanding at March 31, 2026 [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
- • The bear read is that net income fell year over year, adjusted EBITDA margin slipped to 9.2% from 9.8%, free cash flow was negative, and the initial stock reaction was mixed despite the beat.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-05
Q1 print reaffirmed FY2026 outlook and added shareholder returns [#8-K-2026-05-05]
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
65
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.0
Δ21d
+7.9
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.9
Δ21d
+6.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 64.8 / Value 60.5 / Sentiment 54.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.93B
Beta
-
Shares Out
70.84M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
5.6
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+10.8%
EPS YoY
+10.3%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$33M
Current Ratio
1.40
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data