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VG

Venture GlobalB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The official Q2 release combined strong throughput and EBITDA growth with higher 2026 guidance, 91% contracted cargo coverage, and additional long-term offtake. This supports a constructive operating thesis if fee realization and project execution remain on plan.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
2026 guidance depends partly on achieving $12.50-$13.50/MMBtu weighted-average liquefaction fees on remaining unsold cargos and current forward curves. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
Momentum
40
Value
45
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
7 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $16.56 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $17.33
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d +1.6
Value45 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment69 · Δ7d -15.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -15.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • 2026 guidance depends partly on achieving $12.50-$13.50/MMBtu weighted-average liquefaction fees on remaining unsold cargos and current forward curves. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
  • • Higher costs may offset the benefit of strong revenue and EBITDA growth.
  • • The packet's Barron's coverage reported that the stock fell after an earnings beat and cited higher costs as a pressure point.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-11

Raised EBITDA guidance and contracted-cargo coverage

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
40
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
-21.9
Value
45
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
69
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.6
Δ21d
-20.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 39.7 / Value 45.3 / Sentiment 69.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$16.56
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$34.4B
Beta
-
Shares Out
2.5B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
15.0
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-4.59
Rev YoY
+47.6%
EPS YoY
+235.8%
Gross Margin
+47.8%
Op Margin
+37.7%
Net Debt
$32.67B
Current Ratio
1.19
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data