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VG

Venture GlobalB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The official Q2 release combined strong throughput and EBITDA growth with higher 2026 guidance, 91% contracted cargo coverage, and additional long-term offtake. This supports a constructive operating thesis if fee realization and project execution remain on plan.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
2026 guidance depends partly on achieving $12.50-$13.50/MMBtu weighted-average liquefaction fees on remaining unsold cargos and current forward curves. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
Momentum
77
Value
46
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $16.56 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $16.67
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d +3.5
Value46 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +10.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • 2026 guidance depends partly on achieving $12.50-$13.50/MMBtu weighted-average liquefaction fees on remaining unsold cargos and current forward curves. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
  • • Higher costs may offset the benefit of strong revenue and EBITDA growth.
  • • The packet's Barron's coverage reported that the stock fell after an earnings beat and cited higher costs as a pressure point.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-11

Raised EBITDA guidance and contracted-cargo coverage

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
77
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
+6.4
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.1
Δ21d
-3.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 76.5 / Value 45.6 / Sentiment 69.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$16.56
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$34.38B
Beta
-
Shares Out
2.5B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
14.9
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-4.59
Rev YoY
+47.6%
EPS YoY
+235.8%
Gross Margin
+47.8%
Op Margin
+37.7%
Net Debt
$32.67B
Current Ratio
1.19
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data