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VALE

ValeC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
Bull case: sustained iron-ore rally, better-than-expected production/guidance and stronger shareholder returns (dividends/buybacks) push valuation materially above current levels.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Major operational incident, production shortfall or regulatory action in Brazil
Momentum
47
Value
56
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.75 · Bull $20.09 · Bear $12.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.31
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d +8.5
Value56 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -1.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
47
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+8.5
Δ21d
+26.0
Value
56
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
58
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
+4.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 46.7 / Value 55.6 / Sentiment 58.1

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$59.16B
Beta
0.63
Shares Out
4.26B
P/E (TTM)
10.3
P/S (TTM)
1.56
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-56.51
Rev YoY
+14.2%
EPS YoY
+35.7%
Gross Margin
+34.6%
Op Margin
+19.9%
Net Debt
$11.28B
Current Ratio
1.24
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology