VAL
ValarisDNYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The constructive read is that operating execution remains solid despite the merger backdrop: Q1 revenue efficiency was 98%, backlog reached roughly $4.9 billion, DS-12 returned ahead of schedule, and management said three additional active-fleet drillships remain on track to restart later in 2026 [#10-Q-2026-05-05]. If the deal closes on schedule, VAL holders also participate in any tightening of the exchange-ratio spread and synergy capture at the combined company.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
Contracting and utilization can still swing with customer timing, white space, shipyard work, or delayed follow-on work, as seen in Q1 from fewer floater and jackup operating days [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
Momentum
17
Value
56
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $90.00 · Bull $98.00 · Bear $70.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $94.80
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -6.6
Value56 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
17
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
-8.1
Value
56
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
61
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-1.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 17.2 / Value 56.4 / Sentiment 60.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$5.3B
Beta
1.18
Shares Out
69.25M
P/E (TTM)
9.3
P/S (TTM)
1.50
P/FCF (TTM)
14.52
Rev YoY
-25.0%
EPS YoY
-55.6%
Gross Margin
+21.2%
Op Margin
+23.0%
Net Debt
$552.5M
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology