B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$148.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
USLM
United States Lime MineralsANasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case remains management's February 2, 2026 framing: 2025 demand was strong, especially from construction, environmental and steel customers, and large regional data-center projects were specifically cited as a support [#8-K-2026-02-02]. If the Q1 company update shows those drivers absorbed weather disruption and roof-shingle weakness, the stock can justify a move toward the packet's $138 median target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.3.
What can break
First-quarter 2026 earnings, release timing, and any consensus surprise remain unconfirmed in primary company sources available for this review, limiting conviction.
Momentum
52
Value
53
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $138.00 · Bull $148.00 · Bear $118.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $132.00
Why
Momentum52 · Δ7d +1.8
Value53 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment72 · Δ7d -10.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • First-quarter 2026 earnings, release timing, and any consensus surprise remain unconfirmed in primary company sources available for this review, limiting conviction.
- • January 2026 winter weather interrupted shipments, and the company said the first-quarter financial impact had not yet been determined [#8-K-2026-02-02].
- • The bear case is that this is still a monitoring setup rather than a confirmed positive earnings revision.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-01
May 1, 2026 annual meeting could add color on modernization and expansion priorities
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
52
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
-1.3
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
72
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.3
Δ21d
-13.5
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 51.9 / Value 52.5 / Sentiment 71.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$3.15B
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
28.69M
P/E (TTM)
27.4
P/S (TTM)
9.79
P/FCF (TTM)
36.59
Rev YoY
+8.3%
EPS YoY
+11.7%
Gross Margin
+48.4%
Op Margin
+42.1%
Net Debt
-$367.11M
Current Ratio
27.54
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data