B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
URBN
Urban OutfittersBNasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record sales and adjusted profits, positive comps across all retail brands, strong Nuuly subscriber growth, and double-digit wholesale expansion support a durable multi-brand growth thesis. Cash and operating cash flow also provide flexibility for store, technology, and platform investment.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
What can break
Analyst target, rating, and estimate revisions after the print are unavailable; the peer set is also relatively loose.
Momentum
91
Value
54
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $92.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $70.00Analysis 2026-08-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $92.50
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d +2.0
Value54 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target, rating, and estimate revisions after the print are unavailable; the peer set is also relatively loose.
- • Inventory increased 11.8% year over year, raising execution and markdown risk if demand or assortment productivity weakens [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27].
- • The earnings outcome was more a confirmation than a major surprise: revenue modestly beat stored consensus while adjusted EPS was in line.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-26
Record Q2 results with broad segment growth
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
91
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+19.5
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
-21.4
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 91.3 / Value 53.8 / Sentiment 55.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-31. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-28
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$7.65B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
85.66M
P/E (TTM)
14.5
P/S (TTM)
1.15
P/FCF (TTM)
17.09
Rev YoY
+11.4%
EPS YoY
+12.4%
Gross Margin
+36.0%
Op Margin
+9.8%
Net Debt
$529.64M
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data