B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
URBN
Urban OutfittersBNasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record sales and adjusted profits, positive comps across all retail brands, strong Nuuly subscriber growth, and double-digit wholesale expansion support a durable multi-brand growth thesis. Cash and operating cash flow also provide flexibility for store, technology, and platform investment.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.9.
What can break
Analyst target, rating, and estimate revisions after the print are unavailable; the peer set is also relatively loose.
Momentum
81
Value
57
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $92.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $70.00Analysis 2026-08-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $91.42
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d +2.4
Value57 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +1.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target, rating, and estimate revisions after the print are unavailable; the peer set is also relatively loose.
- • Inventory increased 11.8% year over year, raising execution and markdown risk if demand or assortment productivity weakens [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27].
- • The earnings outcome was more a confirmation than a major surprise: revenue modestly beat stored consensus while adjusted EPS was in line.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-26
Record Q2 results with broad segment growth
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
+22.8
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+4.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 81.0 / Value 57.2 / Sentiment 65.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-31. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.56B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
85.64M
P/E (TTM)
14.5
P/S (TTM)
1.15
P/FCF (TTM)
17.09
Rev YoY
+11.4%
EPS YoY
+12.4%
Gross Margin
+36.0%
Op Margin
+9.8%
Net Debt
$529.64M
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data