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UNFI

United Natural FoodsB
NYSE / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Profitability, service levels and cash generation improved materially despite planned sales exits. Natural-segment sales grew 6.6% in Q4 while adjusted EBITDA rose 48.3%, and fiscal 2027 guidance implies continued EBITDA growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
What can break
Conventional-segment sales declined 8.6% in fiscal Q4, creating risk that network optimization masks persistent customer or volume weakness.
Momentum
46
Value
62
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $50.00 · Bull $61.00 · Bear $35.00Analysis 2026-09-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $54.00
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d -5.4
Value62 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Conventional-segment sales declined 8.6% in fiscal Q4, creating risk that network optimization masks persistent customer or volume weakness.
  • • Fiscal 2027 guidance depends on new customer onboarding, improved service metrics and productivity translating into reported revenue and EBITDA growth.
  • • Total Q4 sales still declined 0.7%, conventional sales fell 8.6% and retail sales fell 7.9%.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-15

Post-earnings estimate and target revisions

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
46
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
-12.8
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-14.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 45.7 / Value 62.3 / Sentiment 58.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$61.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$2.91B
Beta
1.00
Shares Out
60.32M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
34.9
P/S (TTM)
0.06
P/FCF (TTM)
5.89
Rev YoY
-4.2%
EPS YoY
-554.9%
Gross Margin
+12.5%
Op Margin
+0.9%
Net Debt
$1.83B
Current Ratio
1.33
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data