B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
UMC
United MicroelectronicsFNYSE / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$9.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-06
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-15.2
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-15.2
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
0.0
Score
AI commentary
Analyst targets show a wide low–high spread with the median near current levels, implying limited consensus conviction. Near-term sentiment is cautious ahead of earnings and guidance; longer-term views hinge on execution of capacity and technology investments.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-06
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-07catalystQuarterly earnings & guidance (estimated)High impact
Quarterly results and management guidance can reprice UMC; medians cluster near current levels so surprises may move the stock. Date estimated as a short-horizon assumption due to no confirmed release date.
2026-06-30eventAnalyst revisions / consensus repricingHigh impact
A cluster of analyst upgrades/downgrades or a shift in consensus targets could act as an event catalyst; using the disclosed analyst snippets as context and a near-term window ending mid-2026 for potential revisions.
2027-02-06catalystFoundry demand recovery / node migrationHigh impact
Industry recovery and migration benefits could raise utilization and margins over the next year; outcome depends on customer wins and capital execution. Date set one year out per long-horizon rule.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-06 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology