UMC

United MicroelectronicsA

NYSE / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment

At close

2026-06-02

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$11.50

-48.8% vs current

Most likely

Base case

60%

Probability

Target price

$9.85

-56.1% vs current

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$5.00

-77.7% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-02-06

AI commentary

Analyst targets show a wide low–high spread with the median near current levels, implying limited consensus conviction. Near-term sentiment is cautious ahead of earnings and guidance; longer-term views hinge on execution of capacity and technology investments.

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-06

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Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-05-07catalystQuarterly earnings & guidance (estimated)High impact

Quarterly results and management guidance can reprice UMC; medians cluster near current levels so surprises may move the stock. Date estimated as a short-horizon assumption due to no confirmed release date.

2026-06-30eventAnalyst revisions / consensus repricingHigh impact

A cluster of analyst upgrades/downgrades or a shift in consensus targets could act as an event catalyst; using the disclosed analyst snippets as context and a near-term window ending mid-2026 for potential revisions.

2027-02-06catalystFoundry demand recovery / node migrationHigh impact

Industry recovery and migration benefits could raise utilization and margins over the next year; outcome depends on customer wins and capital execution. Date set one year out per long-horizon rule.

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-02-06 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology