B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ULH
Universal LogisticsDNasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The stock sits below the packet's median target of $17, and contract logistics still posted revenue growth in Q1 2026, so a modest intermodal recovery could support upside from a depressed base.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04.
What can break
Contract logistics margins also compressed year over year in Q1 2026, limiting the cushion from the company's stronger segment mix [#8-K-2026-05-01].
Momentum
96
Value
54
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $9.00Analysis 2026-05-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-04
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-03 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-03 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-11-03
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-03
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-03. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $28.00
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -
Value54 · Δ7d -6.1
Sentiment0 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Contract logistics margins also compressed year over year in Q1 2026, limiting the cushion from the company's stronger segment mix [#8-K-2026-05-01].
- • Customer concentration is high, with General Motors at about 25% of 2025 revenue and the top ten customers at about 59% [#10-K-2026-03-16].
- • Q1 2026 showed a net loss, intermodal operating loss widened, management said recovery is taking longer than anticipated, and the 2025 10-K already reflected major intermodal impairment, which supports a cautious stance until operating traction is visible.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-04
CFO transition becomes effective on June 1, 2026
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
96
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
54
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.1
Δ21d
-5.8
Sentiment
0
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 96.1 / Value 54.3 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-11-03
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-03
Market Cap
$843.77M
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
26.37M
P/E (TTM)
6.5
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
33.00
Rev YoY
-3.7%
EPS YoY
+214.5%
Gross Margin
+9.7%
Op Margin
+2.2%
Net Debt
$934.18M
Current Ratio
1.20
As of 2026-11-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data