B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ULH
Universal LogisticsFNasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The stock sits below the packet's median target of $17, and contract logistics still posted revenue growth in Q1 2026, so a modest intermodal recovery could support upside from a depressed base.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Contract logistics margins also compressed year over year in Q1 2026, limiting the cushion from the company's stronger segment mix [#8-K-2026-05-01].
Momentum
44
Value
60
Sentiment
24
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $9.00Analysis 2026-05-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.00
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d -
Value60 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment24 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Contract logistics margins also compressed year over year in Q1 2026, limiting the cushion from the company's stronger segment mix [#8-K-2026-05-01].
- • Customer concentration is high, with General Motors at about 25% of 2025 revenue and the top ten customers at about 59% [#10-K-2026-03-16].
- • Q1 2026 showed a net loss, intermodal operating loss widened, management said recovery is taking longer than anticipated, and the 2025 10-K already reflected major intermodal impairment, which supports a cautious stance until operating traction is visible.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-01
CFO transition becomes effective on June 1, 2026
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
44
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+7.0
Sentiment
24
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 43.7 / Value 60.0 / Sentiment 23.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$515.49M
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
26.37M
P/E (TTM)
6.5
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
20.16
Rev YoY
-3.7%
EPS YoY
+214.5%
Gross Margin
+9.7%
Op Margin
+2.2%
Net Debt
$934.18M
Current Ratio
1.20
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data