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UFPI

UFP IndustriesA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Positive organic unit growth, strong Surestone momentum, acquisitions, and completion of the remaining cost-out actions could support margin recovery and above-market growth as end markets stabilize.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.1.
What can break
Cash declined year over year and seasonal working-capital investment remains material.
Momentum
46
Value
67
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $91.00 · Bull $103.00 · Bear $74.00Analysis 2026-09-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $102.60
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d -12.0
Value67 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d -6.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cash declined year over year and seasonal working-capital investment remains material.
  • • Elevated transportation costs and input inflation may continue to pressure margins.
  • • Freight inflation, weak residential construction, pricing pressure, and lower segment margins could offset revenue stabilization and delay earnings recovery.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-04

Q2 stabilization and positive organic growth

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
46
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.0
Δ21d
-5.5
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.1
Δ21d
+2.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 46.0 / Value 66.5 / Sentiment 75.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$103.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$91.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$74.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.87B
Beta
1.49
Shares Out
55.16M
P/E (TTM)
17.4
P/S (TTM)
0.85
P/FCF (TTM)
28.88
Rev YoY
+2.6%
EPS YoY
-12.9%
Gross Margin
+16.1%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
-$602.61M
Current Ratio
3.98
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data