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UFPI

UFP IndustriesB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Cost savings, Surestone growth and stabilization outside residential construction could restore margins despite muted underlying demand. Q2 sales rose 3%, including 1% organic-unit growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Elevated transportation and energy costs may continue to compress margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Momentum
46
Value
66
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $79.00 · Bull $94.00 · Bear $64.00Analysis 2026-10-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $101.80
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d +14.3
Value66 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -1.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Elevated transportation and energy costs may continue to compress margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
  • • The remaining cost-out benefit and Surestone growth may not be large enough to lift consolidated margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
  • • Q2 EPS fell to $1.48 from $1.70 and adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 130 basis points.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

October 28 third-quarter results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
46
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.3
Δ21d
+17.3
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-27.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 45.6 / Value 65.9 / Sentiment 51.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$94.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$79.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.48B
Beta
1.49
Shares Out
55.16M
P/E (TTM)
17.4
P/S (TTM)
0.85
P/FCF (TTM)
28.88
Rev YoY
+2.6%
EPS YoY
-12.9%
Gross Margin
+16.1%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
-$602.61M
Current Ratio
3.98
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data