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UFCS

United Fire GroupA
Nasdaq / Insurance
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Current thesis
Sustained combined-ratio improvement, conservative reserve development, and modest capital returns could drive multiple expansion; this is a lower-probability outcome given consensus positioning.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.2.
What can break
Adverse reserve development from prior accident years
Momentum
88
Value
59
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $36.43 · Bull $44.35 · Bear $30.89
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $40.50
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d -4.2
Value59 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment43 · Δ7d +9.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
88
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.2
Δ21d
+5.4
Value
59
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
43
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.1
Δ21d
+15.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 87.5 / Value 59.2 / Sentiment 43.3

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$1.12B
Beta
0.46
Shares Out
25.51M
P/E (TTM)
8.6
P/S (TTM)
0.68
P/FCF (TTM)
3.29
Rev YoY
+9.6%
EPS YoY
+95.0%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+11.1%
Net Debt
-$83.89M
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology