B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
UA
Under ArmourANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The company maintained its profitability outlook, expects gross-margin expansion, and plans lower SG&A; successful product, marketing, and marketplace discipline could support a modest re-rating [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.2.
What can break
Cash was $396 million and revolver borrowings were $200 million at quarter-end [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07].
Momentum
6
Value
37
Sentiment
96
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.25 · Bull $7.75 · Bear $4.35Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.15
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d +0.2
Value37 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment96 · Δ7d +3.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cash was $396 million and revolver borrowings were $200 million at quarter-end [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07].
- • FY2027 revenue is now expected to decline at a mid-single-digit rate, with North America and Asia-Pacific weakness explicitly cited [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07].
- • The revenue outlook was reduced because of softer demand, with pronounced North American and Asia-Pacific weakness.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-08
Revenue-outlook reset pressures near-term valuation
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-1.4
Value
37
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-5.0
Sentiment
96
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
+1.5
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 6.2 / Value 37.0 / Sentiment 96.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$6.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.25B
Beta
1.83
Shares Out
429.55M
P/E (TTM)
19.6
P/S (TTM)
0.44
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-29.60
Rev YoY
-3.3%
EPS YoY
-121.3%
Gross Margin
+46.4%
Op Margin
+0.7%
Net Debt
$1.02B
Current Ratio
1.81
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data