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U

Unity SoftwareA
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strategic revenue grew 38% in Q2, led by 63% growth in Strategic Grow, while adjusted EBITDA reached $160 million. Delivery against Q3 guidance and continued Vector momentum could validate a durable growth-and-margin recovery [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Create growth remains much slower than Grow, limiting evidence that the recovery is broad-based.
Momentum
97
Value
48
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $49.00 · Bull $56.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-09-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $50.73
Why
Momentum97 · Δ7d -1.8
Value48 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment83 · Δ7d +2.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Create growth remains much slower than Grow, limiting evidence that the recovery is broad-based.
  • • Direct peer coverage is limited, and Create-side valuation comparability remains weak.
  • • The rerating depends on sustained execution after sunsetting the ironSource Ads network and selling Supersonic.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-02

Q3 strategic-revenue and EBITDA delivery

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
97
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-0.3
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.5
Δ21d
+17.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 96.8 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 83.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$56.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$49.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$20B
Beta
2.05
Shares Out
440.09M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-47.5
P/S (TTM)
10.89
P/FCF (TTM)
50.24
Rev YoY
+23.9%
EPS YoY
-79.3%
Gross Margin
+58.4%
Op Margin
-13.9%
Net Debt
$268.89M
Current Ratio
2.02
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data