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U

Unity SoftwareC
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 strategic revenue rose 38% year over year to $486 million, led by 63% Strategic Grow growth, while adjusted EBITDA reached $160 million [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]. Sustained Q3 delivery and Unity 7 execution could support higher forward estimates.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Continued GAAP losses despite improving adjusted EBITDA [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Momentum
70
Value
49
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $41.00 · Bull $51.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $51.24
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d -23.7
Value49 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -2.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Continued GAAP losses despite improving adjusted EBITDA [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
  • • Execution risk as the ironSource Ads Network sunset and Supersonic sale reduce non-strategic revenue [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
  • • The Q3 guide requires further Strategic Grow expansion while Unity winds down non-strategic ad activities.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Q3 strategic-revenue and EBITDA delivery

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
70
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-23.7
Δ21d
-27.2
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.9
Δ21d
-1.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 69.7 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 56.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$51.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$17.75B
Beta
2.05
Shares Out
440.09M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-42.1
P/S (TTM)
10.89
P/FCF (TTM)
50.24
Rev YoY
+23.9%
EPS YoY
-79.3%
Gross Margin
+58.4%
Op Margin
-13.9%
Net Debt
$268.89M
Current Ratio
2.02
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data