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TXT

TextronB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue increased 3% to $3.8 billion, adjusted EPS rose to $1.62 from $1.55, every manufacturing segment contributed to first-half growth, and management reiterated adjusted FY2026 EPS guidance of $6.40-$6.60. Healthy Aviation orders, initial Ascend deliveries to NetJets, MV-75 progress, and a potential Industrial divestiture provide upside paths [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.2.
What can break
Detailed post-Q2 analyst estimate revisions and an attributable earnings-day market reaction are unavailable.
Momentum
32
Value
64
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $89.00 · Bull $104.00 · Bear $68.00Analysis 2026-09-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-14 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-14

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-14. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $102.21
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d +15.0
Value64 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d -6.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Detailed post-Q2 analyst estimate revisions and an attributable earnings-day market reaction are unavailable.
  • • Failure to obtain assumed additional FY2026 MV-75 funding could reduce adjusted EPS by $0.20-$0.30 and cash flow by $150-$250 million [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
  • • The quality of growth is mixed: Aviation deliveries and profit faced volume, mix, and manufacturing-efficiency pressure, while quarterly manufacturing cash flow declined sharply.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Cash-flow and Aviation execution pressure

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.0
Δ21d
+10.7
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.2
Δ21d
-16.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 32.0 / Value 64.4 / Sentiment 74.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$104.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$89.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$15.07B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
171.99M
P/E (TTM)
19.6
P/S (TTM)
1.10
P/FCF (TTM)
23.06
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
+4.7%
Gross Margin
+17.8%
Op Margin
+6.7%
Net Debt
$2.26B
Current Ratio
1.75
As of 2026-09-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data