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TXT

TextronB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 3%, adjusted EPS rose to $1.62 from $1.55, Aviation backlog was $8.0 billion, and the new Navy modification adds a specific contract-execution opportunity. Better aircraft deliveries and cash conversion could support a higher valuation [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28] [#PR-2026-10-06].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Aviation production inefficiencies and lower jet volume could continue to offset pricing gains [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Momentum
41
Value
64
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $78.00 · Bull $90.00 · Bear $62.00Analysis 2026-10-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $99.43
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d +10.2
Value64 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -0.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Aviation production inefficiencies and lower jet volume could continue to offset pricing gains [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
  • • Failure to receive assumed MV-75 funding could reduce 2026 adjusted EPS by $0.20–$0.30 and cash flow by $150 million–$250 million [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
  • • Q2 Aviation jet deliveries and segment profit declined, while manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions fell to $154 million from $336 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

October 29 third-quarter results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
41
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.2
Δ21d
+6.3
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-23.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 40.7 / Value 64.4 / Sentiment 55.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$13.21B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
171.99M
P/E (TTM)
19.6
P/S (TTM)
1.10
P/FCF (TTM)
23.06
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
+4.7%
Gross Margin
+17.8%
Op Margin
+6.7%
Net Debt
$2.26B
Current Ratio
1.75
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data