B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TXT
TextronBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 showed revenue growth across manufacturing segments, adjusted EPS growth, healthy Aviation order activity, Ascend deliveries to NetJets, and continued Bell MV-75 progress. Reiterated FY2026 guidance provides a measurable baseline [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.0.
What can break
Additional MV-75 funding may not be received, with stated downside to adjusted EPS and manufacturing cash flow [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Momentum
24
Value
64
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $86.00 · Bull $98.00 · Bear $70.00Analysis 2026-09-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $102.21
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d +2.3
Value64 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d -3.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Additional MV-75 funding may not be received, with stated downside to adjusted EPS and manufacturing cash flow [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
- • Analyst target count, detailed estimate revisions, options positioning, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable.
- • Manufacturing cash flow declined year over year, Textron Aviation jet deliveries and segment profit were lower, and the outlook depends partly on additional MV-75 funding.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-28
Q2 results and reiterated FY2026 outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
-0.6
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.0
Δ21d
-3.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 23.9 / Value 64.5 / Sentiment 74.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$86.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$15.07B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
171.99M
P/E (TTM)
19.6
P/S (TTM)
1.10
P/FCF (TTM)
23.06
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
+4.7%
Gross Margin
+17.8%
Op Margin
+6.7%
Net Debt
$2.26B
Current Ratio
1.75
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data