B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$43.50
+60.3% vs current
TTEK
Tetra TechCNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
+29.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
-11.5% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-14
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.7
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+76.0
Score
AI commentary
News flow since April 20, 2026 has been constructive and company-driven, centered on contract awards and the April 29, 2026 earnings/guidance raise. Immediate post-print reaction appears positive: third-party earnings coverage showed a positive after-hours move and a May 30, 2026? Wait date wrong. The reliable checked date is April 30, 2026, when MarketBeat showed a $32.32 close after the release, but the packet's anchor price on May 13, 2026 was $26.988, implying the initial earnings strength did not fully hold. Social coverage was not provided, so confidence should rest on filings and company releases rather than sentiment extrapolation.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-14
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-06-02catalystCapital return and cash conversion reinforce downside supportMedium impact
Q2 cash from operations was $165 million and first-half operating cash flow was $237.6 million; the board also approved a quarterly dividend of $0.072 per share, up 11% year over year, while the company repurchased $50 million in Q2 and had $498 million remaining under authorization. [#8-K-2026-04-29] [#IR-2026-04-29] [#10-Q-2026-05-01]
2026-07-29eventQ2 beat, backlog growth, and raised FY26 guidanceHigh impact
Tetra Tech reported fiscal Q2 2026 revenue of $1.22 billion, net revenue of $1.05 billion, adjusted EPS of $0.34, backlog of $4.28 billion up 8% sequentially, and raised FY26 guidance to $4.25-$4.40 billion of net revenue and $1.50-$1.58 of adjusted EPS; the 10-Q also shows backlog rising to $4.282 billion from $4.140 billion at FY25 year-end. [#IR-2026-04-29] [#10-Q-2026-05-01]
2026-10-01catalystWater and infrastructure award flow is supporting revenue visibilityHigh impact
Management tied Q2 momentum to demand in water, environment, sustainable infrastructure, and defense, while highlighting recent wins including USACE, U.S. Air Force, U.S. Navy, Northern Ireland Water, and the Netherlands framework; the Netherlands award alone carries up to a 6-year duration and expands Tetra Tech's position in wastewater and flood-defense modernization. [#IR-2026-04-29] [#IR-2026-04-23]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology