B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TTEK
Tetra TechBNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q3 beat, raised FY26 outlook, 5% sequential backlog growth, strong cash conversion, and double-digit growth in U.S. federal and international end markets support a constructive medium-term setup.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.3.
What can break
Federal funding, task-order timing, and contract execution could delay backlog conversion.
Momentum
72
Value
53
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $39.80 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $28.50Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $40.33
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -9.6
Value53 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +4.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Federal funding, task-order timing, and contract execution could delay backlog conversion.
- • Higher debt versus fiscal 2025 year-end increases balance-sheet sensitivity despite strong operating cash flow.
- • GAAP revenue and adjusted earnings were lower year over year in stored third-party context, while the growth framing excludes USAID, Department of State, and episodic disaster-response activity.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-27
Cash generation and capital return provide modest support
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.6
Δ21d
-9.8
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-3.2
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.3
Δ21d
+2.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 71.7 / Value 53.3 / Sentiment 72.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$39.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$28.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.17B
Beta
0.91
Shares Out
256.04M
P/E (TTM)
37.3
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM)
24.36
Rev YoY
-4.5%
EPS YoY
-1.9%
Gross Margin
+18.8%
Op Margin
+11.7%
Net Debt
$819.7M
Current Ratio
1.18
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data