TSLA

TeslaD

Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Bull case assumes faster-than-expected Cybertruck ramp, meaningful margin improvement from scale, stronger energy/storage growth and favorable FSD/regulatory progress, supporting multiples nearer analyst highs [#SERP-2].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-22 · AMC.

What can break

FSD or regulatory setbacks impacting software monetization

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $420.00 · Bull $630.00 · Bear $130.00

Earnings

58 · Near miss

Next 2026-07-22 · AMC

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Earnings Setup

As of 2026-07-18 • RankAlpha AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $407.48

Why

Momentum39 · Δ7d -7.3

Value48 · Δ7d -0.4

Sentiment53 · Δ7d +3.6

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Earnings surprise screen

58Near miss2026-07-22 amc

View setup

Tesla has the strongest pre-event estimate signal in this bounded review: Zacks reported a positive 16.52% Earnings ESP and a two-cent upward EPS revision, while Tesla reported above-model Q2 deliveries and energy-storage deployments. The setup remains non-qualifying because final-session price strength, close-location, volume accumulation, and sector-relative-strength checks were not verifiable from the bounded tape retrieval.

Screen as of 2026-07-18. Window 2026-07-20 to 2026-07-24.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-7.3

Δ21d

+17.0

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.4

Δ21d

+0.0

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+3.6

Δ21d

-2.1

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 38.7 / Value 48.4 / Sentiment 52.9

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$1.43T

Beta

1.86

Shares Out

3.76B

P/E (TTM)

302.1

P/S (TTM)

15.71

P/FCF (TTM)

219.81

Rev YoY

+15.8%

EPS YoY

+16.0%

Gross Margin

+19.1%

Op Margin

+4.7%

Net Debt

-$29.73B

Current Ratio

2.04

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology