B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$132.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TROW
T Rowe Price GroupBNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$97.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-05
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+26.6
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+26.6
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+73.3
Score
AI commentary
Post-earnings tone is mixed: operating results and adjusted EPS were positive, while outflows, active-equity pressure, and fee compression remain unresolved. The packet includes a headline that shares underperformed competitors on July 31, but detailed attribution and delayed analyst revisions are unavailable. Social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment data are insufficient, and the peer set is loose, so confidence remains moderate. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-05
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
high-coverage report lacks a dated company-specific catalyst beyond generic cadence; peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators; later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-31eventQ2 2026 earnings produced strong revenue and EPS growth but continued outflowsMedium impact
Adjusted diluted EPS rose to $2.57 from $2.24, net revenue increased 10.7% year over year to $1.907 billion, and ending AUM reached $1.893 trillion. Net client outflows remained $6.5 billion. A secondary Zacks report cited a $2.52 consensus EPS estimate. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
2026-11-03eventNew ETF launches provide a dated product-mix checkpointMedium impact
Management said T. Rowe Price launched the Capital Appreciation Market Opportunities ETF in June 2026 and the actively managed Active Crypto ETF in mid-July 2026. Future asset gathering from these products could support diversification, though post-launch flows are not yet established in the packet. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
2026-11-03catalystFlow and fee-rate read-through remains the key near-term riskMedium impact
Management reported positive flows in May and June, but expects fundamental active equity pressure to continue in the second half of 2026. The effective fee rate declined to 38.1 basis points from 38.4 basis points in the prior quarter. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-05 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology