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TRIP

TripAdvisorA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
TheFork monetization could provide capital-allocation flexibility, while Experiences growth and portfolio simplification offer a path to improved strategic focus. The stored analyst median target of $13.1538 implies substantial upside from the $9.085 anchor price, but the target count is unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Hotels and Other revenue declined materially, while SEO and traffic headwinds continue to pressure the core business.
Momentum
2
Value
67
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $10.50 · Bull $13.15 · Bear $7.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $13.15
Why
Momentum2 · Δ7d -0.1
Value67 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +13.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Hotels and Other revenue declined materially, while SEO and traffic headwinds continue to pressure the core business.
  • Q2 non-GAAP EPS and revenue reportedly missed consensus, and Experiences EBITDA margin declined amid channel-mix pressure.
  • Q2 results showed continuing-operations revenue contraction, Hotels and Other weakness, SEO-related traffic pressure, and margin deleverage.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Post-earnings expectations reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
2
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-6.7
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.1
Δ21d
+18.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 2.2 / Value 66.7 / Sentiment 84.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.19B
Beta
1.02
Shares Out
117.2M
P/E (TTM)
23.3
P/S (TTM)
0.91
P/FCF (TTM)
6.66
Rev YoY
-7.2%
EPS YoY
-31.3%
Gross Margin
+58.6%
Op Margin
+5.0%
Net Debt
$216M
Current Ratio
1.56
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data