B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TPR
TapestryANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Fiscal 2026 revenue reached $8.0 billion, Coach grew 24%, margins expanded and non-GAAP EPS exceeded guidance. Management entered FY2027 targeting continued margin expansion and low-double-digit EPS growth, supporting a constructive thesis if Coach pricing, unit growth and international momentum persist.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.0.
What can break
Fiscal 2027 revenue growth is expected to moderate from fiscal 2026, raising the risk of valuation compression if results merely meet expectations.
Momentum
27
Value
58
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $135.00 · Bull $160.00 · Bear $90.00Analysis 2026-09-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $167.41
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d -2.9
Value58 · Δ7d +2.7
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +8.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Fiscal 2027 revenue growth is expected to moderate from fiscal 2026, raising the risk of valuation compression if results merely meet expectations.
- • Growth is concentrated in Coach, increasing sensitivity to a reversal in that brand's pricing, product or customer-acquisition momentum.
- • The outlook calls for mid-single-digit revenue growth after a much stronger fiscal 2026.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-05
Fiscal Q1 2027 results on November 5
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
27
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.9
Δ21d
+5.3
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
73
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
-2.4
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 27.2 / Value 57.6 / Sentiment 73.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-22. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$135.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$22.1B
Beta
1.65
Shares Out
198.44M
P/E (TTM)
113.9
P/S (TTM)
3.65
P/FCF (TTM)
34.83
Rev YoY
+8.9%
EPS YoY
-167.5%
Gross Margin
+74.9%
Op Margin
+24.0%
Net Debt
$2.8B
Current Ratio
1.75
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data