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TPR

TapestryA
NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Coach-led growth, sustained margin expansion and substantial shareholder returns could support continued earnings compounding. The company reported fiscal 2026 revenue of $8.0 billion, strong Coach growth and FY2027 EPS growth guidance.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Analyst target and revision coverage is incomplete, limiting valuation confidence.
Momentum
11
Value
55
Sentiment
92
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $140.00 · Bull $165.00 · Bear $100.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $172.61
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -4.1
Value55 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment92 · Δ7d +13.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target and revision coverage is incomplete, limiting valuation confidence.
  • • Coach concentration increases sensitivity to brand momentum and consumer demand.
  • • The thesis is concentrated in Coach and depends on tariff mitigation, disciplined marketing spend and eventual improvement at Kate Spade.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-08

FY2027 outlook execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.1
Δ21d
-40.0
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+3.1
Sentiment
92
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.3
Δ21d
+19.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 11.4 / Value 54.8 / Sentiment 91.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$25.73B
Beta
1.65
Shares Out
199.39M
P/E (TTM)
113.9
P/S (TTM)
3.65
P/FCF (TTM)
34.83
Rev YoY
+8.9%
EPS YoY
-167.5%
Gross Margin
+74.9%
Op Margin
+24.0%
Net Debt
$2.8B
Current Ratio
1.75
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data