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TPL

Texas Pacific LandC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 validated TPL's ability to compound legacy royalty and water economics with newer monetization paths: record quarterly revenue and net income, a $42.5M data-center/power-linked land transaction, and a near-term desalination startup milestone all point to upside that is not purely a WTI call option. [#8-K-2026-05-06] [#10-Q-2026-05-06]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.3.
What can break
Desalination remains an execution story until the Orla facility actually processes inlet barrels and demonstrates commercial economics at scale. [#8-K-2026-05-06] [#10-Q-2026-05-06]
Momentum
67
Value
43
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $360.00 · Bull $460.00 · Bear $300.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $442.33
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d +7.3
Value43 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -6.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
67
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+7.3
Δ21d
+56.6
Value
43
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
45
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.9
Δ21d
-5.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 67.0 / Value 42.9 / Sentiment 45.4

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$27.99B
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
68.97M
P/E (TTM)
43.1
P/S (TTM)
26.56
P/FCF (TTM)
396.66
Rev YoY
+20.8%
EPS YoY
+18.5%
Gross Margin
+85.5%
Op Margin
+75.8%
Net Debt
-$129.23M
Current Ratio
4.23
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology