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TPL

Texas Pacific LandF
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 validated TPL's ability to compound legacy royalty and water economics with newer monetization paths: record quarterly revenue and net income, a $42.5M data-center/power-linked land transaction, and a near-term desalination startup milestone all point to upside that is not purely a WTI call option. [#8-K-2026-05-06] [#10-Q-2026-05-06]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.
What can break
Desalination remains an execution story until the Orla facility actually processes inlet barrels and demonstrates commercial economics at scale. [#8-K-2026-05-06] [#10-Q-2026-05-06]
Momentum
11
Value
42
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $360.00 · Bull $460.00 · Bear $300.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-05-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $339.67
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -1.4
Value42 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +11.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.4
Δ21d
-3.1
Value
42
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
53
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.5
Δ21d
+16.0
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 11.0 / Value 41.9 / Sentiment 53.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-05-29
Market Cap
$27.11B
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
68.94M
P/E (TTM)
43.1
P/S (TTM)
26.56
P/FCF (TTM)
396.66
Rev YoY
+17.0%
EPS YoY
+13.7%
Gross Margin
+94.1%
Op Margin
+75.8%
Net Debt
-$369.84M
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology