TOL

Toll BrothersC

NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

Q2 results supported the bull case: EPS $2.72 and revenue $2.51B came in above market expectations, orders improved, adjusted gross margin held at 26.2%, and management raised FY26 guidance [#8-K-2026-05-19]. The longer-run setup also benefits from higher community count and continued land control.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

What can break

Adjusted home sales gross margin fell to 26.2% from 27.5% a year ago, and pre-tax inventory impairments rose to $32.5M from $9.8M.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $172.75 · Bull $190.00 · Bear $105.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $172.75

Why

Momentum35 · Δ7d +1.0

Value64 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment64 · Δ7d -0.2

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

+1.0

Δ21d

-9.6

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+0.8

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

+11.9

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 35.0 / Value 63.8 / Sentiment 63.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-01

Market Cap

$12.93B

Beta

1.46

Shares Out

95M

P/E (TTM)

10.0

P/S (TTM)

1.18

P/FCF (TTM)

13.92

Rev YoY

+2.7%

EPS YoY

-1.1%

Gross Margin

+25.4%

Op Margin

+15.7%

Net Debt

$1.53B

Current Ratio

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology