TLYS
Tilly'sFNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
Bull case: successful margin and inventory normalization combined with steady comp recovery and disciplined promotions drives revenue and operating leverage, supporting upside toward analyst high levels. For context vs sell-side coverage: base target equals the analyst median (1.74) and the bull target aligns with the analyst high (2.50); the bear target (1.10) is a downside-stress outcome below the analyst low (1.43).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.
What can break
Deeper promotional markdowns compressing margins
Momentum
49
Value
41
Sentiment
18
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.74 · Bull $2.50 · Bear $1.10
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.50
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -33.9
Value41 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment18 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
49
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-33.9
Δ21d
-41.1
Value
41
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
18
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 48.9 / Value 40.6 / Sentiment 17.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$117.08M
Beta
1.17
Shares Out
30.49M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-6.6
P/S (TTM)
0.11
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
31.40
Rev YoY
+15.9%
EPS YoY
-64.2%
Gross Margin
+31.4%
Op Margin
-6.6%
Net Debt
$124.14M
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology