TKR

TimkenC

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Bull scenario assumes stronger-than-expected industrial capex recovery, meaningful margin improvement from pricing and cost actions, and re-rating toward the high end of the analyst range.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

What can break

Execution risk on margin-improvement initiatives

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $90.00 · Bull $130.00 · Bear $70.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $146.23

Why

Momentum86 · Δ7d +1.8

Value60 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment13 · Δ7d -1.8

So what

Balanced signals. Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+1.8

Δ21d

-2.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.8

Δ21d

+0.1

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 86.5 / Value 59.8 / Sentiment 13.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$9.57B

Beta

1.21

Shares Out

69.49M

P/E (TTM)

20.9

P/S (TTM)

1.35

P/FCF (TTM)

21.03

Rev YoY

+8.0%

EPS YoY

+26.0%

Gross Margin

+28.9%

Op Margin

+12.0%

Net Debt

$1.67B

Current Ratio

2.88

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology