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TK

TeekayC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Official Q2 results confirm strong TK earnings, record tanker subsidiary performance, elevated Q3 booked rates, and meaningful fleet-renewal progress.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.3.
What can break
Fleet renewal requires continued capital-allocation discipline and includes future newbuilding milestone payments.
Momentum
85
Value
53
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.25 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $8.75Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d -0.5
Value53 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -6.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fleet renewal requires continued capital-allocation discipline and includes future newbuilding milestone payments.
  • • Management describes the near-term tanker outlook as complex, unpredictable, and significantly influenced by geopolitical events [#IR-2026-07-29-TNK-Q2-ER].
  • • The thesis remains highly dependent on tanker rates; only part of Q3 spot exposure is booked, and the packet provides no confirmed analyst estimate, target, or rating revisions after the print.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Q2 2026 earnings confirmed strong tanker operating performance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+14.7
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
52
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.3
Δ21d
-6.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 84.8 / Value 52.5 / Sentiment 52.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.12B
Beta
0.10
Shares Out
87.01M
P/E (TTM)
9.9
P/S (TTM)
0.75
P/FCF (TTM)
6.35
Rev YoY
+63.3%
EPS YoY
+62.7%
Gross Margin
+33.0%
Op Margin
+47.5%
Net Debt
-$927.05M
Current Ratio
10.36
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data