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THRM

GenthermA
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q2 revenue, strong Automotive Climate and Comfort Solutions growth, $690 million of automotive new-business awards, and raised FY2026 guidance support a cautiously positive operating thesis. The Modine transaction and expanded repurchase authorization add potential strategic and capital-allocation upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.
What can break
FY2026 guidance assumes current tariffs, customer-order expectations, light-vehicle production trends, and a specified EUR/USD exchange rate.
Momentum
74
Value
56
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $43.00 · Bull $50.00 · Bear $32.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $50.00
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d -3.8
Value56 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • FY2026 guidance assumes current tariffs, customer-order expectations, light-vehicle production trends, and a specified EUR/USD exchange rate.
  • • Gross-margin pressure from material costs and higher warranty accruals.
  • • Gross-margin compression, sharply lower operating cash flow, warranty and material-cost pressure, and the need to execute a strategic transaction temper the outlook.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-23

Q2 record revenue and raised FY2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
74
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.8
Δ21d
-16.8
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-4.6
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-0.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 73.7 / Value 55.8 / Sentiment 76.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.33B
Beta
1.34
Shares Out
30.71M
P/E (TTM)
38.1
P/S (TTM)
0.78
P/FCF (TTM)
17.24
Rev YoY
+11.0%
EPS YoY
+812.2%
Gross Margin
+23.7%
Op Margin
+5.0%
Net Debt
$85.99M
Current Ratio
2.06
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data