B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
THRM
GenthermCNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Automotive Climate and Comfort Solutions revenue grew 8.8% year over year, and Gentherm reported $555 million of new automotive business awards. If the completed Modine combination converts into durable margins and cash flow, the earnings-driven selloff could prove excessive.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 11.1% from 12.7%, and operating cash flow declined to $36.0 million from $87.8 million. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
Momentum
28
Value
55
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $28.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $19.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $48.00
Why
Momentum28 · Δ7d -1.3
Value55 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -26.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 11.1% from 12.7%, and operating cash flow declined to $36.0 million from $87.8 million. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
- • Guidance assumes current tariffs and low-single-digit declines in relevant-market light-vehicle production; demand or tariff changes could undermine it. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
- • Adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed a reported $0.65 consensus; lower gross and EBITDA margins and weaker year-over-year operating cash flow complicate the integration case.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-06
Post-earnings reassessment of the EPS miss
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
28
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-3.2
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-26.9
Δ21d
-25.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 27.5 / Value 54.8 / Sentiment 52.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.56B
Beta
1.34
Shares Out
54.48M
P/E (TTM)
38.1
P/S (TTM)
0.78
P/FCF (TTM)
17.24
Rev YoY
+11.0%
EPS YoY
+812.2%
Gross Margin
+23.7%
Op Margin
+5.0%
Net Debt
$85.99M
Current Ratio
2.06
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data