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THO

Thor IndustriesB
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Fiscal Q4 revenue of $2.31 billion exceeded the $2.15 billion Zacks consensus. European quarterly sales rose 5%, dealer inventory turns improved, and management expects more than $100 million of eventual annual earnings improvement from its initiatives.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.
What can break
A further decline in dealer orders or failure to convert restructuring into gross-margin improvement could invalidate the recovery case.
Momentum
48
Value
58
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $73.00 · Bull $85.00 · Bear $55.00Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $79.60
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d +14.8
Value58 · Δ7d -1.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A further decline in dealer orders or failure to convert restructuring into gross-margin improvement could invalidate the recovery case.
  • • Management expects fiscal 2027 retail demand to be relatively flat, with interest rates, fuel costs and inflation still pressuring RV affordability. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-22]
  • • Fiscal Q4 EPS fell to $0.78 from $2.36, consolidated gross margin contracted 230 basis points, and Towable remained weak.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Post-earnings fiscal 2027 guidance will test the recovery case

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
48
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+14.8
Δ21d
+11.5
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-10.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 48.5 / Value 57.6 / Sentiment 57.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$85.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$73.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.62B
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
51.61M
P/E (TTM)
19.9
P/S (TTM)
0.56
P/FCF (TTM)
17.34
Rev YoY
-3.9%
EPS YoY
-26.7%
Gross Margin
+12.1%
Op Margin
+2.5%
Net Debt
$440.55M
Current Ratio
1.71
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data