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TFII

TFI InternationalC
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 adjusted EPS rose to $1.85 from $1.34 a year earlier, with stronger operating income across all three segments and $202.1 million of free cash flow. Delivery of management's Q3 margin outlook could support a higher valuation.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.2.
What can break
Accident-related reserves and higher corporate expense weighed on Q2 results. [#PR-2026-07-27]
Momentum
24
Value
56
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $113.00 · Bull $138.00 · Bear $90.00Analysis 2026-10-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-29 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-29

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-29. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $158.94
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d +3.8
Value56 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +3.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Accident-related reserves and higher corporate expense weighed on Q2 results. [#PR-2026-07-27]
  • • Freight-market, fuel-recovery, driver-retention, and acquisition-integration risks remain material. [#PR-2026-07-27]
  • • The Q2 improvement may not persist: six-month LTL operating income was down 4% year over year, accident-related reserves raised corporate expense, and Q3 guidance assumes no significant change in the operating environment.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

Third-quarter results and webcast

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
-2.5
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
-0.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 24.1 / Value 56.5 / Sentiment 62.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$113.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$9.23B
Beta
1.38
Shares Out
82.19M
P/E (TTM)
28.8
P/S (TTM)
1.13
P/FCF (TTM)
16.90
Rev YoY
+12.4%
EPS YoY
+40.8%
Gross Margin
+12.4%
Op Margin
+7.1%
Net Debt
$3.01B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-10-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data