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TFII

TFI InternationalC
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
TFI sustains margin expansion through route optimization and contract renewals while freight demand normalizes, driving above‑consensus EPS and multiple expansion toward the high analyst band.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
Analyst downgrades after earnings surprises
Momentum
45
Value
54
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $135.00 · Bull $170.00 · Bear $95.00Analysis 2026-04-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $173.75
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d -4.8
Value54 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +0.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst downgrades after earnings surprises
  • • Execution risk on contract renewals and integration of acquisitions
  • • A prolonged freight demand slowdown, margin compression from fuel/labor costs, or weaker-than-expected contract renewals could push multiples toward the analyst low and materially depress cash flow.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-17

Market reaction and analyst revisions following 2025 FY results (published)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
45
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
+13.3
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+8.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 45.3 / Value 54.0 / Sentiment 65.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$135.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.98B
Beta
1.38
Shares Out
82.19M
P/E (TTM)
28.8
P/S (TTM)
1.13
P/FCF (TTM)
16.90
Rev YoY
+12.4%
EPS YoY
+40.8%
Gross Margin
+12.4%
Op Margin
+7.1%
Net Debt
$3.01B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data