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TDW

TidewaterB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is a successful Wilson closing, continued improvement in day rates and utilization, and sustained offshore investment. Tidewater's global fleet and Brazilian scale could support earnings and free-cash-flow growth if market tightening persists.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.4.
What can break
Consensus estimates, analyst target revisions, social sentiment, and a reliable post-earnings market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
87
Value
57
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $88.20 · Bull $102.00 · Bear $67.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $93.90
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -0.8
Value57 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +10.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Consensus estimates, analyst target revisions, social sentiment, and a reliable post-earnings market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
  • • Middle East and Iran-related conflict has increased war-premium, fuel, travel, and operating costs [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-03].
  • • The bear case is that Q2 earnings quality weakens: higher crew, repair, fuel, transaction, and Middle East-related costs offset better utilization and pricing.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-15

Post-Q2 earnings digestion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-4.7
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-4.2
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.4
Δ21d
+4.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 86.9 / Value 56.9 / Sentiment 60.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$102.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$88.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$67.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.68B
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
49.76M
P/E (TTM)
17.5
P/S (TTM)
1.89
P/FCF (TTM)
8.81
Rev YoY
+0.3%
EPS YoY
-70.4%
Gross Margin
+28.4%
Op Margin
+17.8%
Net Debt
$107.48M
Current Ratio
3.58
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data