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TDAY

USA TODAYC
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Expense reductions, positive net income, higher free cash flow, growing digital-only subscription revenue, record digital-only ARPU, and reaffirmed full-year expectations support a potential transition toward more durable cash generation.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
Analyst-revision data, target breadth, options positioning, short interest, and verified market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
72
Value
61
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.10 · Bull $8.70 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-09-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.70
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -0.1
Value61 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment46 · Δ7d +2.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst-revision data, target breadth, options positioning, short interest, and verified market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
  • • Changing consumer discovery behavior and migration away from traditional search may pressure audience acquisition and advertising monetization.
  • • The 8.3% Q2 revenue decline, continuing consumer migration away from traditional channels, and variable content-licensing timing leave the proposed revenue inflection unproven.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · BMO

Digital monetization progress

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+41.2
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
46
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
-2.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 71.5 / Value 61.2 / Sentiment 46.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-12. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$6.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.01B
Beta
1.59
Shares Out
146.82M
P/E (TTM)
9.7
P/S (TTM)
0.33
P/FCF (TTM)
27.61
Rev YoY
-8.3%
EPS YoY
-88.3%
Gross Margin
+33.1%
Op Margin
+5.6%
Net Debt
$1.04B
Current Ratio
0.81
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data