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TDAY

USA TODAYC
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Profitability, free cash flow, consecutive-quarter digital subscription growth, digital-other expansion, and reaffirmed full-year outlook support a potential rerating if execution continues. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -18.9.
What can break
Content-licensing revenue timing may create quarterly volatility.
Momentum
6
Value
62
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.33 · Bull $8.70 · Bear $5.40Analysis 2026-09-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.70
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d +1.4
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -18.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -18.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Content-licensing revenue timing may create quarterly volatility.
  • • No verified post-release analyst revision or price-attribution signal is available.
  • • Revenue and same-store revenue remain down, content-licensing timing is variable, and the monetization payoff from audience-data initiatives is not yet quantified.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-04

Post-Q2 earnings digestion remains mixed

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
-13.1
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.0
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-18.9
Δ21d
-13.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 6.1 / Value 61.6 / Sentiment 68.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.33
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$5.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.05B
Beta
1.59
Shares Out
146.82M
P/E (TTM)
9.7
P/S (TTM)
0.33
P/FCF (TTM)
27.61
Rev YoY
-8.3%
EPS YoY
-88.3%
Gross Margin
+33.1%
Op Margin
+5.6%
Net Debt
$1.04B
Current Ratio
0.81
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data