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TAP

Molson Coors BeverageB
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 2026 showed that pricing, sales mix, and premiumization can still offset weak volume: net sales rose 2.0%, gross profit and operating income improved, and the company is still trying to diversify mix beyond core beer. [#10-Q-2026-04-30]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Americas Restructuring Plan execution risk and associated charges before benefits
Momentum
36
Value
67
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $39.00 · Bull $46.50 · Bear $33.00Analysis 2026-05-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $44.63
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d -4.8
Value67 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +8.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Americas Restructuring Plan execution risk and associated charges before benefits
  • • Consumer confidence, limited disposable income, and competitive pressure can keep demand soft
  • • The same filing still showed financial volume down 2.9% from lower shipments in both the Americas and EMEA&APAC, while the May 27 note issuance adds leverage and interest burden.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Q1 2026 results improved profitability, but volume still declined

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
36
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
-11.8
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.9
Δ21d
+11.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 35.7 / Value 66.9 / Sentiment 62.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
22%
Probability
Target price
$46.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
33%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.62B
Beta
0.47
Shares Out
176.68M
P/E (TTM)
8.6
P/S (TTM)
0.78
P/FCF (TTM)
12.12
Rev YoY
-3.3%
EPS YoY
-42.1%
Gross Margin
+33.8%
Op Margin
+12.0%
Net Debt
$5.62B
Current Ratio
0.88
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data