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SymboticB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 print showed 22% year-over-year revenue growth, a return to GAAP profitability, more than doubled adjusted EBITDA, and a Q4 outlook above Q3 revenue. Deployment growth and customer expansion could support continued operating leverage.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA guidance is non-GAAP and the company does not provide a forward reconciliation to GAAP net income. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
32
Value
48
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $48.00 · Bull $64.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $63.93
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d +7.5
Value48 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment79 · Δ7d -1.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance is non-GAAP and the company does not provide a forward reconciliation to GAAP net income. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • Cash declined sequentially to $1.7 billion; forward cash-flow durability is not established by the available excerpt.
  • Execution expectations remain high, while the packet highlights Walmart concentration, elevated R&D and SG&A costs, and sequential cash reduction from $2.0 billion to $1.7 billion.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Board expansion adds high-growth scaling experience

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+7.5
Δ21d
+22.1
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+4.2
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
+0.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 31.9 / Value 47.7 / Sentiment 79.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$25.61B
Beta
2.14
Shares Out
129.87M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1265.0
P/S (TTM)
18.38
P/FCF (TTM)
52.41
Rev YoY
+21.7%
EPS YoY
-344.0%
Gross Margin
+20.3%
Op Margin
+1.4%
Net Debt
-$1.21B
Current Ratio
1.30
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data