B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SXC
SunCoke EnergyCNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print materially improved the operating picture: EBITDA and EPS rose year over year, guidance increased, Phoenix and terminal volumes drove Industrial Services strength, and the Middletown turbine resumed generation [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
What can break
Execution risk around Phoenix integration, terminal volumes, and favorable operating yields.
Momentum
87
Value
53
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.50 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $6.90Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.50
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d +4.4
Value53 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +5.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Execution risk around Phoenix integration, terminal volumes, and favorable operating yields.
- • Forward guidance is subject to operating and market risks identified in the SEC filing.
- • Haverhill I reduced coke volumes, corporate costs increased, and the raised outlook remains execution-dependent.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-30
Q2 earnings beat and guidance raise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
+6.8
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-11.5
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
-11.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 86.5 / Value 53.2 / Sentiment 55.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$807.16M
Beta
0.97
Shares Out
84.87M
P/E (TTM)
9.9
P/S (TTM)
0.35
P/FCF (TTM)
149.05
Rev YoY
+9.5%
EPS YoY
+587.8%
Gross Margin
+7.9%
Op Margin
+3.2%
Net Debt
$614.9M
Current Ratio
2.25
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data