B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SWKS
Skyworks SolutionsDNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The strongest post-print read is that Skyworks beat its own Q2 guide, guided Q3 above a weak market framing, and pointed to healthy mobile demand plus double-digit Broad Markets growth. If investors accept that Broad Markets can remain around the low-40s mix with continued Wi-Fi, data-center and automotive support, the stock can stabilize from a depressed operating narrative.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
FTC Second Request on the Qorvo transaction remains unresolved, extending timing uncertainty and preserving regulatory failure risk [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
Momentum
85
Value
60
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $64.00 · Bull $78.00 · Bear $52.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $68.07
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d +1.9
Value60 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment43 · Δ7d -7.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -7.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • FTC Second Request on the Qorvo transaction remains unresolved, extending timing uncertainty and preserving regulatory failure risk [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
- • Inventory rose to $885.6 million at 2026-04-03 from $754.7 million at 2025-10-03, which raises execution and demand-mix risk if handset or Broad Markets demand softens [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
- • The bearish read is that a beat was not enough because revenue was still slightly below the year-ago quarter, management still expects normal mobile seasonality next quarter, and the market remains unconvinced that diversification offsets handset exposure and merger complexity.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-04
Post-earnings setup improved, but the market still wants proof the reset is durable
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+9.8
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-8.2
Sentiment
43
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.2
Δ21d
-10.8
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 85.2 / Value 59.8 / Sentiment 43.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.19B
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
150.47M
P/E (TTM)
21.2
P/S (TTM)
2.39
P/FCF (TTM)
15.19
Rev YoY
-3.1%
EPS YoY
-68.0%
Gross Margin
+40.7%
Op Margin
+8.7%
Net Debt
-$378.4M
Current Ratio
3.10
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data